Defence productivity

  • Whatever one’s views about President Trump, the UK, EU and others certainly need to stop piggy-backing the USA when it comes to their defence
  • Instead, we should realise our strengths and stop being fearful of Russia, China et alia
  • Many major nations now have nuclear weapons so nuclear war between them has become a MAD option – there are no upsides for any side
  • As Albert Einstein said: “I know not with what World War 3 will be fought but WW4 will be fought with sticks and stones”
  • Hence wars now tend to be fought on weaker nations’ killing fields with weaponry that lacks killer blows to induce quick surrenders – think:
    • Russia  v  Ukraine/USA/UK/EU
    • Israel/ USA  v  Palestine/ Iran
    • Russia, then USA  v  Afghanistan/ Bin Laden
    • France or USA  v  Vietnam/ ‘domino theory’ 
  • Consider the relative strengths of the main potential combatants nowadays, viz:
    • USA – Population 350m – GDP  $28trn – Defence $840bn, 2.8m personnel
    • UK – 70m – GDP £2.85trn – Defence £65bn, 150k personnel (82k Army, 30k RN, 38k RAF) 
    • EU – 350m – GDP $20trn – Defence $326bn, 2m personnel
    • versus:
    • Russia – 150m – GDP $1.8trn – Defence $145bn, 1.5m personnel
    • China – 1.4bn – GDP $20trn – Defence $245bn, 2m personnel

  • At first, such stats suggest NATO nations have little to worry about – but that was before President Trump 2.0 started rocking the global boat
  • Now, previously reliant-on-USA nations all say they’re increasing their defence spending as a percentage of GDP – to 2.5% and more – but to be spent on what?
  • Simply increasing numbers of defence personnel is no longer the answer – and cheap drones and missiles operated from afar have already proved to be much more effective than more costly tanks, warships and front-line cannon-fodder troops 
  • Nevertheless, the UK/ EU’s top brass apparently claim we are currently ‘unprepared’ to resist any Russian aggression, not least because of drastic falls in their forces’ personnel numbers
  • So should we just blindly increase defence spending and numbers – and then ask for approval from across the pond?
  • Surely not!
  • Our priority must be to establish what we need to successfully defend ourselves in any likely future war, with and without likely partners – and make sure we can afford it
  • And that means first establishing, DOGE style, how much of current defence expenditure is wasted or inefficiently employed – not bowing to demands for billions more to be spent on extra inputs, troops and gear, whilst assuming all current defence systems and processes are working near perfectly 
  • Hence, we eagerly await news of Lord George Robertson’s UK defence review, due any minute
  • In the meantime, we chanced on an article about the mighty USA’s defence system – extracts follow – and guess such stories might well apply over here too.

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Erik Schuh is an Air Force officer serving as an operations research analyst. The views expressed below are those of the author and do not reflect the official guidance or position of the U.S. government, the Department of Defense, the U.S. Air Force, or the U.S. Space Force.

    DOGE’s real challenge in the Pentagon isn’t slashing the workforce, it’s boosting Productivity

  • When I served at U.S. Air Forces Europe, a daily 15-minute briefing took 43 hours of staff work.
  • This wasn’t an outlier — it was the norm.
  • With the largest discretionary spending item in the federal budget and massive inefficiencies, the Defense Department might seem an obvious target for the Department of Government Efficiency — known as DOGE.
  • With roughly 2.8 million personnel, the Department of Defense spends $299 billion on personnel costs, with billions more allocated towards contractors performing similar jobs.
  • Manpower alone accounts for one-third of the defense budget.
  • Although DOGE has focused largely on sweeping budget cuts, its core purpose is to modernise federal technology and software to maximise governmental efficiency and productivity.
  • Despite the Department of Defense’s focus on combat efficiency, rarely is there a meaningful push to improve productivity.
  • DOGE could address this gap and strengthen military readiness by automating administrative tasks, streamlining bureaucratic processes, and modernising information technology systems.

 

The Problem: Administrative Burdens and Outdated Systems

  • Despite being a warfighting organisation, a significant portion of Department of Defense personnel dedicate substantial time to administrative work.
  • Staff officers devote most of their time to formatting PowerPoint briefings and warfighters are often bogged down by bureaucratic paperwork rather than focusing on mission-critical tasks.
  • The inefficiencies extend beyond daily workflows.
  • Security clearance processing has become a major bottleneck, preventing personnel from assuming critical roles in a timely manner.
  • As security classifications expand across the force, the backlog has grown to around 100,000 cases as of late 2024, with secret and top-secret clearances taking an average of 68 and 169 days, respectively, to complete.
  • This delay effectively sidelines thousands of personnel, leaving units understaffed and reducing operational readiness.
  • Beyond clearance delays, inefficient processes prevent personnel from seamlessly transitioning between assignments.
  • Many wait months to regain access to the same classified systems they previously used, further stalling productivity and mission effectiveness.
  • Beyond clearance delays, outdated technology further compounds inefficiencies across the Department of Defense.
  • A prime example is the Navy’s adoption of Microsoft Office 365 to modernise its ageing, fragmented networks.
  • This might not seem like a big deal until you notice the platform has been commercially available for a decade.
  • Even after the successful rollout, it took an additional three years before the Department of Defense integrated the platform into its classified networks, highlighting the slow pace of technological adoption.
  • All of these inefficiencies compound across the department.
  • A 2023 RAND report estimated that outdated software and network systems cost the Department of Defense $2.5 billion in lost productivity annually.
  • And this figure excludes top-secret and special access program networks, which have similar problems.
  • All of these problems culminated in the Government Services Administration finding the Department of Defense ranked lowest in satisfaction with IT support and services among all federal agencies.
  • When personnel spend more time fighting their systems than executing their mission, it not only degrades productivity but also delays critical decisions.
  • While these inefficiencies may seem like minor headaches, they compound across an organisation of 2.8 million people, leading to billions of dollars in wasted time, stalled operations, and degraded effectiveness.
  • The problem is not just the cost — it is that outdated systems and unnecessary bureaucracy actively hinder military readiness.

 

Automating Administrative Tasks

  • A significant portion of Department of Defense personnel handle routine administrative tasks — most of which can be automated to free up manpower.
  • While serving in U.S. Air Forces Europe, I saw this inefficiency firsthand.
  • The four-star commander received a daily operations and intelligence briefing that required 43 hours of manual work to prepare — despite lasting only 15 minutes.
  • I led an effort to automate this process and quickly found there were multiple other companies tackling similar problems across the Department of Defense.
  • Even though one company’s solution was far superior, U.S. Air Forces Europe was being cornered into using inferior products due to decisions made at higher commands.
  • This inefficiency partially stems from the Department of Defense’s bias toward government-owned software instead of commercial-off-the-shelf solutions.
  • The fear of being locked into a vendor’s product and the expectation of lower costs creates a belief that government-developed systems would be more cost-effective.
  • The Department of Defense’s software acquisition process helped create these incentives, which is partly why Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, recently announced a new mandate to streamline software acquisition across the department.
  • Today, enterprise solutions require major tech players like Palantir, Google and Microsoft to integrate data effectively — not small organisations with no track record of success.

 

  The Way Forward

  • While DOGE personnel are already in the Pentagon, there is an opportunity to adopt an approach that balances cost-saving efforts with operational effectiveness.
  • These three initiatives — automation, security clearance reform, and IT modernization — represent low-hanging fruit that can generate substantial savings while enhancing military effectiveness.
  • If DOGE’s goal is to maximise efficiency, prioritising technology and process improvements will yield sustainable results without compromising readiness.

 

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